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Colombia's central bank raised its benchmark rate to 12.25% on 30 September as inflation hit 6.2%. Four of seven board members backed the quarter-point rise. The post Colombia Raises Interest Rate to 12.25% appeared first on The Rio Times.
A resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking concerns about inflation just days ahead of the Federal Reserve decision on interest rates. Brent crude settled near $117 as a flare-up in Middle East violence threatened supplies. Most S&P 500 firms fell even as selling pressure on tech shares abated. A gauge of chipmakers edged up, but posted its longest weekly drop since November. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 1.2%. Treasuries relinquished a portion of the previous session’s rally. Co-Host of Odd Lots, Joe Weisenthal says it's important to the US Economy that tech companies fire on all cylinders. (Source: Bloomberg)
Independent voters’ economic anxieties highlight political implications of plummeting US consumer sentiment.
US consumer sentiment edged down to a five-month low in October as high prices and rising interest rates depressed morale. The University of Michigan’s final sentiment index eased to 48 from 48.1 in September, according to the survey released Friday. Even so, that was an improvement from the preliminary reading and topped all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Joanne Hsu, University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers Director joins to discuss. (Source: Bloomberg)
US consumer sentiment edged down to a five-month low in October as high prices and rising interest rates depressed morale.
A prévia da inflação oficial de outubro ficou em 0,32%, menos da metade do mês anterior (0,7%), conforme divulgou o Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE), nesta sexta-feira (23). O resultado faz com que o Índice Nacional de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo 15 (IPCA-15) acumule 4,62% em 12 meses. Esse patamar fica acima da meta do governo, que tolera até 4,5% ao ano. Em setembro, o acumulado de 12 meses era 4,47%. Em outubro de 2025, o índice marcou 0,18%. Notícias relacionadas:Previsão de superávit no Orçamento de 2027 está mantida, diz Durigan.CMN e BC atualizam regras de segurança e transparência do Open Finance.Após cinco meses, conta de luz voltará à bandeira verde em outubro.Veja o comportamento dos grupos de produtos e serviços apurados pelo IBGE em outubro: - Alimentação e bebidas: 0,88% (impacto de 0,19 ponto percentual - p.p.) - Despesas pessoais: 0,55% (0,06 p.p.) - Vestuário: 0,53% (0,02 p.p.) - Comunicação: 0,43% (0,02 p.p.) - Artigos de residência: 0,28% (0,01 p.p.) - Saúde e cuidados pessoais: 0,15% (0,02 p.p.) - Educação: 0,09% (0,01 p.p.) - Transportes: 0,05% (0,01 p.p.) - Habitação: -0,10% (-0,02 p.p.) No grupo alimentação e bebidas, o IBGE destaca que a alimentação no domicílio subiu 1,01%. Em setembro, variou 0,38%. As maiores altas do grupo foram: tomate: 24,54% cebola: 13,63% batata-inglesa: 10,96% arroz: 5,80% O tomate, aliás, foi o preço individual que mais pressionou o IPCA-15. Pelo lado dos recuos, os principais subitens foram cenoura (-10,67%), frutas (-1,37%) e café moído (-1,16%). No grupo transporte, a alta foi pressionada pelos combustíveis, que subiram 1,2% em outubro. Subiram os preços do óleo diesel (3,70%), etanol (2,73%) e da gasolina (0,92%). O gás veicular recuou 0,18%. As passagens aéreas ficaram, em média, 9,24% mais em conta, sendo o subitem que mais puxou a prévia da inflação para baixo (impacto de -0,08 p.p.). Único grupo a apresentar retração, a habitação (-0,10%) teve como principal contribuição negativa o custo da energia elétrica residencial, que variou -0,89%. A explicação está na bandeira tarifária, que passou de amarela (com acréscimo de R$ 1,885 a cada 100 Kwh consumidos) para verde, sem cobrança adicional para os consumidores. ((https://agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br/economia/noticia/2026-09/apos-cinco-meses-conta-de-luz-voltara-bandeira-verde-em-outubro)) Em setembro, a conta de luz (+7,42%) tinha sido o principal motor de alta do IPCA-15. A explicação foi a devolução do bônus de Itaipu, desconto que os consumidores tiveram na conta de luz do mês de agosto. Sem o desconto, o preço voltou ao patamar normal em setembro. Na avaliação do economista Roberto Luis Troster, coordenador do Centro de Estudos do Financiamento das Empresas Brasileiras (Cefeb) da Fundação Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas (Fipe), não houve alívio disseminado dos preços, e a maior pressão veio dos alimentos. “A desaceleração mensal é bem-vinda, mas ainda não demonstra uma trajetória consistente de queda da inflação. Em resumo: ganhou-se uma batalha contra a inflação, mas a guerra ainda não acabou”, avalia. IPCA15 x IPCA O IPCA-15 tem basicamente a mesma metodologia do IPCA, a chamada inflação oficial, que serve de base para a política de meta de inflação do governo: 3% no acumulado em 12 meses, com margem de tolerância de 1,5 p.p. para mais ou para menos. A diferença está no período de coleta de preços e na abrangência geográfica. Na prévia, a pesquisa é feita e divulgada antes mesmo de acabar o mês de referência. Em relação à divulgação atual, o período de coleta foi de 16 de setembro a 14 de outubro. Os dois índices levam em consideração uma cesta de produtos e serviços para famílias com rendimentos entre um e 40 salários mínimos. Atualmente o valor do mínimo é R$ 1.621. O IPCA-15 coleta preços de 367 produtos e serviços (10 a menos que o IPCA) em 11 localidades do país (as regiões metropolitanas do Rio de Janeiro, Porto Alegre, Belo Horizonte, Recife, São Paulo, Belém, Fortaleza, Salvador e Curitiba, além de Brasília e Goiânia.); e o IPCA, 16 localidades (inclui Vitória, Campo Grande, Rio Branco, São Luís e Aracaju). O IPCA cheio de outubro será divulgado em 12 de novembro. O boletim Focus da última segunda-feira (19), sondagem do Banco Central (BC) com instituições do mercado financeiro, sinaliza que o mercado espera que a inflação de outubro fique em 0,32%.
Brazil’s inflation preview came in at 0.32% against 0.43% expected, on the last trading day before Sunday’s presidential runoff. The post Brazil Inflation Eases Before Runoff Vote appeared first on The Rio Times.
Brazil’s annual inflation rate shot through the target ceiling in early October, adding to voters’ frustrations as they prepare to pick their next president on Sunday.
Mexican stocks fell 1.25% to 69,370 on Thursday after mid-October inflation beat forecasts at 3.62%, cutting hopes of an early Banxico interest rate cut. The post Mexico Stocks Fall 1.25% on Hot Inflation | Mexico Market Report, Oct 22 appeared first on The Rio Times.
Japan’s key price gauge rose above the Bank of Japan’s target level for the first time this year, supporting the case for a widely expected BOJ interest rate hike in December.
Australia’s growth will likely be slower than the 1.75% forecast in May’s budget, Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers said Friday, as a series of rate hikes and rising inflation start to bite on the economy.
Kroger CFO David Kennerley discusses the company plans to invest $5 billion in consumer value, including affordable groceries and simpler promotions, while seeking to fund the effort through $4 billion in structural cost savings. Kennerley said the company is seeing a slight uptick in inflation but remains within the range it projected earlier in the year, and will accept supplier price increases only when justified. He speaks with Romaine Bostick in "The Close." (Source: Bloomberg)
Sudan's army chief has ordered an import ban cancelled as the dollar hit 10,300 pounds and inflation rose to 28.29% in September. The post Sudan’s Leader Lifts Import Ban on Food appeared first on The Rio Times.
India's central bank raised its repo rate to 5.5% in October 2026, signalling that inflation control now outweighs growth support. The post India’s Rate Hike to 5.5% and What It Means appeared first on The Rio Times.
Blackstone Inc. reported a drop in third-quarter income as surging energy prices stoked inflation and higher interest rates subdued dealmaking.
LatAm opens after Brazil stocks fell 0.9% while Chile and Colombia rose. Mexico's inflation data is due today and Brazil's IPCA-15 follows on Friday. The post LatAm Opens After Brazil Stocks Drop 0.9% | Pre-Open, Oct 22 appeared first on The Rio Times.
Brazil's Selic stays at 13.75% with no rate meeting this week. Bradesco reports today and inflation data lands Friday, steering B3 before the open. The post Brazil Stocks Slip 0.9% Before Bradesco Earnings | Morning Call, Oct 22 appeared first on The Rio Times.
Plus, the UK approves drilling at a contentious North Sea gas field
Gold held a decline as conflicting signals on efforts to end the Iran war clouded the outlook for inflation and the Federal Reserve’s path for interest rates.
Cinve now expects Uruguay inflation of 5.4% in December, up from 4.8%, and above the central bank's 4.5% target until May 2027. The post Uruguay Inflation Seen at 5.4% by Year End appeared first on The Rio Times.
Treasuries are set to keep falling out of favor as an equity hedge amid a return to a persistently elevated inflation regime. Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, breaks down this elevated inflation regime and what it means for wages, the labor market, and US economy as a whole. (Source: Bloomberg)
Ahead of the midterms Trump has boasted about the performance of the US economy. BBC Verify looks at inflation, jobs and economic growth in the country.
Treasuries are losing their luster as a portfolio hedge as increasing supply, persistent inflation and rising neutral rates weaken their appeal, according to Citigroup Inc.’s top Australia banker.
New Zealand inflation likely eased slightly in the third quarter, but the respite is set to be short-lived as a weaker currency and surging oil prices drive an acceleration in the final three months of the year, building the case for rate hikes.
At first glance, the past week’s inflation data look hot enough to change the Fed debate, but the details were less alarming: Inflation breadth narrowed, and traders expect PCE inflation later this month to tell a similar story. Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, discusses global tightening and her outlook for the Fed's inflation fight. (Source: Bloomberg)
Lebanon's economic crisis has dragged on since 2019. A re-igniting of Israel's war with Hezbollah derailed the weak recovery seen last year. The World Bank now forecasts that the Lebanese economy will shrink by 6.4 percent this year, with inflation expected to reach around 17.5 percent. A growing divide is visible everywhere: in households, in businesses and even in consumer habits. Our correspondents Serge Berberi and Renée Davis report.
Mexico inflation bets surged 36 points, Brazil’s runoff odds tightened and Ethiopia war odds fell. See what traders expect next. The post LatAm and Africa Prediction Markets, Week of 19 Oct appeared first on The Rio Times.
Uruguay's central bank forecasts 4.9% inflation at the end of 2026 and 4.1% in 2027, with growth of about 1% this year and 2.5% next year. The post Uruguay Inflation Forecast Set at 4.9% appeared first on The Rio Times.
China's economy grew 4.5% in the third quarter, beating forecasts, while euro-area inflation hit 3.8% and Brent held near US$106 a barrel. The post China Grows 4.5% as Euro Inflation Hits 3.8% | Global Economy, Oct 19 appeared first on The Rio Times.
Brazil's Ibovespa rose 0.54% on Friday as Petrobras gained 4%. Inflation data at 8:00 BRT and the Focus survey at 8:25 BRT set the Selic tone today. The post Brazil Stocks Rose 0.5% as Petrobras Jumped 4% | Morning Call, Oct 19 appeared first on The Rio Times.