How Prediction Markets Upstaged Election Polls
Voters, donors and media increasingly use the betting platforms Kalshi and Polymarket to forecast election outcomes. Critics warn of new risks to democracy.
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Voters, donors and media increasingly use the betting platforms Kalshi and Polymarket to forecast election outcomes. Critics warn of new risks to democracy.
A former theater director has found an unlikely โ and highly profitable โ niche on Kalshi
Prediction markets tout themselves as โtruth machines,โ but trading data shows a lot of casino-like bets.
Prediction markets make Flรกvio Bolsonaro the clear favourite to beat Lula on 25 October. What Polymarket and Kalshi say, and why the odds matter. The post What Prediction Markets Say About Brazilโs Runoff appeared first on The Rio Times.