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The dollar fell to a session low on Friday after a report showed the US added fewer jobs than expected in September, leading traders to trim bets the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year.
Veronica Clark, US economist at Citi, sees the Federal Reserve becoming “increasingly divided” on raising interest rates and says the labor market “definitely has been more stable than we were expecting.” (Source: Bloomberg)
Smaller stocks, banks and utilities have been pummeled.
A surge in euro-area sovereign bond spreads slowed on Friday as traders bet the European Central Bank will be forced to support the region’s more-indebted members by delivering fewer interest-rate hikes.
Gold held a modest gain as US bond yields softened and Federal Reserve officials signaled they needed more time to weigh their next move on interest rates, even as a possible escalation in the Middle East kept energy costs elevated.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson said it may take more time before policymakers can judge whether further interest-rate increases are needed to slow inflation during an event at the University of Virginia. (Source: Bloomberg)
US state and local government debt posted its worst month in nearly two decades after inflation concerns, fueled by the ongoing US-Iran conflict, and fears of interest-rate hikes triggered a widespread bond selloff.
A move higher in oil is putting even more pressure on bonds, with yields hitting new milestones in a number of markets including the UK and the US. The UK’s long-term borrowing costs hit 6% for the first time in almost three decades whilst the 10-year Treasury note climbed to the highest since 2002. It comes as government debt has been flailing around the world as uncertainty — tied to the war in the Middle East — ripples through the global economy, pushing investors to bet central banks will further raise interest rates. But bond veteran Jim Bianco, President and Founder of Bianco Research, is bullish on US sovereign debt on the basis of value generation. He discusses the reasoning behind his position with Caroline Hepker and Nathan Hager. (Source: Bloomberg)
Sajjid Chinoy, chief India economist for JPMorgan Chase & Co expects the RBI to take an appropriately cautious or hawkish tone to signal to markets that more maybe in the pipeline. He said this in an conversation with Bloomberg Television's Paul Allen. (Source: Bloomberg)
One of Europe’s most popular interest-rate wagers in recent years took a fresh hit last month as the latest spike in global energy prices drove a surge in short-term bond yields.
Tokyo, Oct. 1 (Jiji Press)--A Bank of Japan policymaker said at the BOJ's latest policy-setting meeting that the central bank needs to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes, a summary of opinions at the Sept. 17-18 meeting showed Thursday. At the September meeting, the BOJ Policy Board voted 7-2 to raise its policy interest rate to 1.25 pct, three months after the previous rate hike in...
Gold opened the month steady as softer inflation data lowered bets the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its next meeting, while high bond yields left the door open to renewed selling.
The Banxico governor, Victoria Rodríguez Ceja, said on 29 September 2026 that Mexico need not copy US rate moves, with its own rate held at 6.50 percent. The post Banxico Governor Says Mexico Need Not Follow the Fed With Rates at 6.5% appeared first on The Rio Times.
Colombia’s central bank is expected to hold interest rates Wednesday in a split decision, though analysts still see policymakers resuming hikes later as inflation pressures persist.
Inflation in France quickened to the fastest pace in more than two years as surging oil and natural gas costs continue to weigh on Europe’s economy. Inflation in the euro area’s second-biggest economy stood at 3.4% in September, up from 2.6% in August, statistics agency Insee said. The reading keeps pressure on the European Central Bank to continue raising interest rates. Bloomberg's Oliver Crook has the details. (Source: Bloomberg)
Pessimism around real estate stocks is so severe as interest rates climb that conditions exist for a dramatic reversal to the benefit of investors with good timing.
The dollar is wrapping up its best month since June as the Federal Reserve’s renewed focus on taming inflation pushed interest-rate expectations and US bond yields higher.
As famílias brasileiras continuaram enfrentando aumento dos juros, da inadimplência e do endividamento em agosto, segundo as Estatísticas Monetárias e de Crédito divulgadas nesta terça-feira (29) pelo Banco Central (BC). A taxa média de juros do crédito livre para pessoas físicas chegou a 61,7% ao ano, com alta de 1,4 ponto percentual (p.p.) em relação a julho; e de 2,9 p.p. na comparação com agosto do ano passado. Notícias relacionadas:BC reduz juros básicos para 13,75% ao ano.Mercado eleva projeção de inflação para 4,99% e reduz PIB.Prévia da inflação oficial de setembro fica em 0,70%, mostra IBGE.Entre as modalidades que mais pressionaram o indicador estão o cartão de crédito rotativo e o cartão parcelado. Considerando famílias e empresas, a taxa média de juros das operações com recursos livres ficou em 48,5% ao ano em agosto, com aumento de 0,8 p.p. no mês e de 2,3 p.p. em 12 meses. No caso especificamente das empresas, a taxa média de 24,2% representa recuo de 1,0 p.p. no mês e de 0,7 p.p. em 12 meses. “Prevaleceu o efeito da variação das taxas (efeito taxa), com destaque para as reduções das taxas médias de cartão de crédito rotativo (-26,9 p.p.), de capital de giro com prazo inferior a 365 dias (-4,1 p.p.) e de capital de giro com prazo superior a 365 dias (-1,0 p.p.)”, detalhou o BC. Crédito Apesar dos juros mais elevados, o crédito às famílias continuou crescendo. O saldo das operações livres para pessoas físicas alcançou R$ 2,6 trilhões, com expansão de 0,8% no mês e de 10,5% em 12 meses. O resultado foi puxado principalmente pelo financiamento de veículos, pelo cartão de crédito rotativo e pelo crédito consignado para trabalhadores do setor privado, modalidade que concentra as operações do Crédito do Trabalhador. Nas empresas, a taxa média de juros do crédito livre ficou em 24,2% ao ano, após recuo de 1 p.p. em agosto. O saldo dessas operações somou R$ 1,6 trilhão, com queda de 0,6% no mês e alta de 0,5% em 12 meses. Segundo o BC, o resultado foi influenciado principalmente pela redução das operações de capital de giro, de desconto de duplicatas e outros recebíveis. O saldo total da carteira de crédito livre atingiu R$ 4,1 trilhões em agosto, crescimento de 0,2% no mês e de 6,5% em 12 meses. Endividamento e inadimplência Os indicadores de crédito mostram que o endividamento das famílias atingiu 49,9% em julho, com aumento de 0,2 p.p. em relação ao mês anterior e de 1,1 p.p. em 12 meses. O comprometimento da renda com o pagamento de dívidas ficou em 28,7%, estável na comparação mensal, mas 1,4 p.p. acima do registrado um ano antes. Ao mesmo tempo, a inadimplência da carteira total de crédito do Sistema Financeiro Nacional alcançou 5% em agosto, com alta de 0,1 p.p. no mês e de 0,9 p.p. em 12 meses. Entre as famílias, a taxa de inadimplência chegou a 6%, avançando 0,2 p.p. em relação a julho e 1,1 p.p. na comparação anual. Nas operações com empresas, o indicador permaneceu estável em 3,3%. Crédito total soma R$ 7,4 trilhões O saldo das operações de crédito do Sistema Financeiro Nacional atingiu R$ 7,4 trilhões em agosto, o que representa expansão de 0,5% no mês. As operações com famílias cresceram 0,8%, chegando a R$ 4,7 trilhões. Nas empresas, houve redução de 0,1%, para R$ 2,7 trilhões. Em 12 meses, o crédito total acumulou crescimento de 9,2%, com avanço de 10,5% nas operações destinadas às pessoas físicas e de 7,1% naquelas voltadas às empresas. Considerando empréstimos bancários, títulos de dívida e financiamentos externos, o crédito ampliado ao setor não financeiro totalizou R$ 22 trilhões em agosto, o que equivale a 164,9% do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB). O saldo cresceu 0,6% no mês e 11,3% em 12 meses. O crédito ampliado às empresas somou R$ 7,3 trilhões, valor equivalente a 54,6% do PIB, com expansão de 1,1% em agosto e de 8,7% na comparação anual. Reservas bancárias avançam Nos agregados monetários, a base monetária encerrou agosto estável, na comparação com o mês anterior, em R$ 432,6 bilhões. Tendo como base comparativa agosto de 2025, apresentou retração de 1,4%. As reservas bancárias cresceram 4,5% no mês, enquanto o volume de papel-moeda em circulação recuou 0,5%.
Reserve Bank of Australia lifts benchmark rate to 4.6 percent amid stubborn inflation.
The Philippines raised 84.9 billion pesos ($1.36 billion) in a retail Treasury bond auction, securing fresh funds for government spending while opting for a shorter tenor as interest rates remain high.
Key economic reports due this week are expected to add further evidence that the US economy is strengthening, bolstering arguments from several Federal Reserve officials that interest rates should be higher.
Nomura North Asia CIO Julia Wang believes the US economy remains resilient enough to absorb additional rate hikes without tipping into a recession. She cites strong consumer spending, ongoing AI capital expenditure, and loose fiscal policy as key drivers supporting growth. (Source: Bloomberg)
Ritholtz Wealth Management founder Barry Ritholtz tells Bloomberg This Weekend that rising bond yields reflect both a normalization of interest rates and inflationary pressures from factors including tariffs and higher energy prices. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini, Ritholtz says higher yields have made fixed income more attractive while investors should consider whether strong equity gains have pushed their portfolios away from their intended allocations. (Source: Bloomberg)
As yields on US Treasuries soar past one high after the next, a reality is sinking in deeper across Wall Street and Washington: More than merely a bond-market slump, this might just be a fundamental shift. Myriad forces have combined to push the government’s borrowing costs higher — from $100-a-barrel oil and the AI spending boom, to yawning US budget deficits adding to a record $40 trillion debt load — all against a backdrop of a Federal Reserve bent on cooling inflation that’s run well past target for years. The selling pressure intensified this week as energy prices surged anew and data showed US businesses are humming along, giving an already hawkish central bank more reasons to keep raising interest rates. For a closer look, we speak with Kelsey Berro, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management. (Source: Bloomberg)
MEXICO · ECONOMY Key Facts —The country Mexico is Latin America’s second-largest economy, with about 130 million people and the United States as its main market. —What happened Banco de México’s Governing Board voted unanimously to keep its overnight target at 6.50 percent. —How long The rate has not moved since the cut of 7 […] The post Banxico Holds Rates at 6.5% and Splits From the Fed appeared first on The Rio Times.
The Swiss National Bank dialed down its threat of intervention to weaken the franc and raised inflation forecasts while keeping interest rates unchanged. Bloomberg's Guy Johnson has the details. (Source: Bloomberg)
South Africa's central bank is stepping up its fight against inflation, raising interest rates for the second time this year. The unanimous quarter-point hike takes the benchmark rate to 7.25%, as higher oil prices and persistent services inflation add to price pressures. Danelee Masia, Deutsche Bank South Africa CEO and Chief Economist for CEEMEA spoke to Bloomberg’s Jennifer Zabasajja on Horizons Middle East & Africa on the latest numbers. (Source: Bloomberg)
The Philippines is selling its first retail bonds of the year starting next week, opting for a shorter tenor as interest rates remain elevated.
Gold held a decline as resurgent energy prices and stronger-than-expected US economic data increased bets the Federal Reserve might again raise interest rates to combat inflation.
Traders are shielding themselves from the possibility that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates less than markets are currently pricing in. Interest-rate swaps now reflect expectations for three quarter-point rate rises by next June, a view that solidified after central bank policymakers voted last week to raise their lending benchmark by a quarter point and signaled more increases will be needed to keep inflation at bay. Phoebe White, Rates Strategist at UBS, discusses the path of rates and how many rate hikes we could see heading into 2027. (Source: Bloomberg)